#TRUMP WILL BE PRESIDENT VOX YOUTUBE TRIAL#

This reality is reflected not only in 2020 voting patterns but also in the underperformance of Trump-y candidates in swing states last year. For a significant number of swing-state suburbanites, Trump’s presence on the GOP ticket is sufficient cause for supporting the Democratic one. To no small extent, his personal odiousness does much of the Democratic Party’s persuasion-and-mobilization work for it. Without question, Trump is an exceptionally weak general-election candidate.

I wish this strategist’s fatalism were well founded. “We’re the dog that caught the car on Trump and abortion.” Moreover, there’s the matter of Roe being overturned and the political vise the party is caught in between its unyielding anti-abortion activists and a broader electorate that supports legal abortion. This Republican, as with a number of his like, has been hoping for a strong Trump alternative to emerge but has grown more pessimistic, DeSantis’ early stumbles confirming his doubts about the Florida governor. Republicans would only have to suffer two White House defeats to finally move on from Trump and, in the meantime, there’s that Supreme Court majority he helped deliver as the political backstop.Īs a shrewd Republican strategist, and no NeverTrumper, put it to me recently: “We’re just going to have to go into the basement, ride out the tornado and come back up when it’s over to rebuild the neighborhood.” It took Democrats three consecutive losses in the 1980s for the Democratic Leadership Council to finally gain traction and elevate one of their own in 1992. As Jonathan Martin reports for Politico, Trump’s intraparty skeptics are already trying to find silver linings in his inevitable defeat: This has led some Republican operatives to resign themselves to Biden’s reelection. With President Biden officially announcing his reelection bid this week, we’re on track for a rematch of the 2020 election. But it seems overwhelmingly likely Trump will resume his place at the top of the GOP ticket. So it is entirely possible DeSantis, or one of the party’s current long shots, will ultimately prevail.

#TRUMP WILL BE PRESIDENT VOX YOUTUBE TRIAL#

And in the interim, Trump is liable to face multiple criminal indictments in addition to a civil trial in which he stands accused of rape. We are still more than a year away from the Republican convention. This week, the Republican front-runner suggested DeSantis may soon be forced to seek “an emergency personality transplant.” Trump, an inveterate bully, has no trouble identifying his rival’s pain points and squeezing them mercilessly. His antipathy to schmoozing and glad-handing is so powerful that he can’t be bothered to reliably return calls from billionaire GOP megadonors. Put aside all the reasons DeSantis is theoretically an appealing candidate and you’re left with all the reasons he isn’t one in reality. Meanwhile, the salience of DeSantis’s opposition to vaccine and mask mandates declines with each passing day. And they certainly aren’t winning cards in a Republican primary. But the small-bore acts of constituent service that earned DeSantis bipartisan approval in Florida - such as wetlands restoration and raises for public-school teachers - don’t really translate to the national stage. And he also served as the national standard-bearer of conservative COVID doves throughout the pandemic.

He did manage to push a thoroughly Trumpist agenda and then win a landslide reelection in a purple state. DeSantis presents better on paper than on television.

Indeed, the Viktor Orbán of the Sunshine State appears to be wilting beneath the heat of the national spotlight. And the gap between Trump and DeSantis has been growing steadily wider for weeks. No other candidate is polling above 6 percent. The former president boasts more than twice as much support as Ron DeSantis, leading the Florida governor by a 51-to-24 percent margin in FiveThirtyEight’s average of GOP primary polls. But it now looks more than merely likely. Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 Republican primary is not certain.

Trump will be president vox youtube